Keys to victory, betting line and prediction for Boise State’s home game vs. Oklahoma St. | Boise State University Broncos Sports

BOISE — Boise State’s Albertsons Stadium is understood nationwide for its iconic blue turf, and crowd noise has made it one of many nation’s hardest venues for opposing groups.

Crowd noise helped account for 44 false begin penalties by opposing offenses in 2018 and 2019, and the 35,518 followers in attendance for final week’s recreation in opposition to UTEP performed a task within the Miners’ three false begins.

Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy stated he isn’t involved, although. His Cowboys would be the first crew from the Big 12 to play a regular-season recreation in Albertsons Stadium on Saturday (7 p.m., FS1), and he stated he hung out this week ensuring his gamers keep targeted on what’s taking place on the sphere, not what shade it’s.

“My personal opinion is that (Boise State has) a unique situation there,” Gundy informed reporters on Monday. “They kind of live in their own world out there and have their own way of thinking. As an outsider looking in, it’s pretty cool what they did. But our preparation and focus in getting ready to play and compete out there should overcome the color of the turf.”

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Oklahoma State (2-0) is coming off back-to-back wins over Missouri State and Tulsa — each of which had been nearer than they need to have been. Boise State (1-1) bounced again final week with a dominant efficiency in opposition to UTEP after a disappointing loss to UCF within the season opener.

Both groups open convention play subsequent week and need to achieve this on the heels of a win, however a powerful efficiency on Saturday may imply an entire lot extra to the Broncos.

Reports surfaced final week a few potential second spherical of growth by the Big 12 — simply when the league authorized the addition of UCF, BYU, Houston and Cincinnati.

Boise State and Memphis appear to be apparent targets if extra groups are added, so Saturday’s recreation turns into an audition of types for the Broncos. A win or perhaps a hotly contested loss could possibly be a feather of their cap. A lackluster efficiency may harm when it comes to a soar to a Power Five convention.

Note: Boise State misplaced a second recruit from its 2022 class on Thursday when defensive lineman Mason Graham flipped his dedication to Michigan. Graham — a three-star prospect from Servite High in California — verbally dedicated to Boise State in July. He’s the second recruit to go away the category for a Big Ten faculty, following quarterback Katin Houser, who flipped to Michigan State in June.

Win on the line of scrimmage: Running the ball and stopping the run are on the prime of the Broncos’ to-do record each week, based on Boise State’s coaches, however doing so will not be as essential at any level this season as it’s on Saturday.

Boise State’s backfield has but to have the companies of a wholesome George Holani, and the Broncos struggled to run the ball of their first two video games. With Holani on the sideline, they managed simply 20 dashing yards within the season opener at UCF. They put up 136 yards on the bottom final week in opposition to UTEP. The excellent news is Avalos stated Monday that Holani received’t be on a snap depend this week. The dangerous information is Oklahoma State is giving up simply 112.5 dashing yards a recreation.

Defensively, Boise State’s solely probability at a win on Saturday is that if it stops Oklahoma State’s multifaceted operating recreation, which begins with quarterback Spencer Sanders and truly has struggled to begin the season. He is the crew’s main rusher after posting 62 yards in his season debut final week in opposition to Tulsa. Running backs LD Brown and Jaylen Warren have each carried the ball greater than 20 instances by way of the primary two video games of the season, however each common simply 2.3 yards a carry.

“They do a good job of putting you in conflict with stopping the run and having different pass options on the outside,” Boise State co-defensive coordinator Spencer Danielson stated. “They do a good job of knowing how to attack a defense, and they do a great job of game planning.”

Keep defending Bachmeier: Boise State quarterback Hank Bachmeier has taken some hits by way of the primary two weeks of the season, however the Broncos have given up just one sack. Bachmeier wants that sort of safety once more on Saturday. The cleaner his jersey is on the finish of the sport, the extra seemingly it’s that the Broncos pull off the win.

Boise State offensive coordinator Tim Plough praised left sort out John Ojukwu this week — calling him probably the most persistently dominant gamers on offense — and the coaches have been happy with Ben Dooley’s first two begins at proper sort out. Bachmeier deserves among the credit score for taking fewer sacks, although. Staying inside his timing and getting the ball out of his palms extra shortly has been his focus.

The Broncos’ potential to get extra snug with the tempo Plough needs to run has additionally performed a task in limiting sacks. Boise State performed quick final week in opposition to UTEP and substituted gamers at a dizzying tempo. If the Broncos can execute with the identical sort of effectivity this weekend, Oklahoma State’s defenders are going to have bother lining up accurately, a lot much less attending to the quarterback. The Cowboys have posted seven sacks of their first two video games, although.

Test the Cowboys’ younger receivers: The Cowboys anticipate to have senior extensive receiver Tay Martin again Saturday after he missed final week’s win over Tulsa with an harm, however Oklahoma State may be very younger on the place this yr.

The crew’s main receiver heading into this weekend is true freshman Jaden Bray — a former three-star recruit who has six catches for 136 yards and a landing. Martin is second on the crew with 107 yards and a landing, however the receivers simply behind him within the stat column are sophomore Brennan Presley (8 catches, 103 yards) and true freshman Bryson Green (5 catches, 57 yards, TD).

The undeniable fact that they’re younger doesn’t imply Oklahoma State’s receivers can’t do harm, however Boise State’s defensive backs can make the most of their lack of expertise. The Broncos’ cornerbacks have to get within the receivers’ faces early with press protection, and get bodily on the line of scrimmage to disrupt routes.

The extra security JL Skinner and cornerback Markel Reed play with a headhunter’s mentality, the best way they did final week, the much less seemingly it’s that a type of younger receivers shall be targeted sufficient to make a game-changing play.

Boise State is 2-2 all-time in opposition to groups from the Big 12, and Oklahoma State received the primary assembly between the applications, 44-21, in 2018. The Broncos are 29-2 in nonconference dwelling video games since 2006. Their solely losses throughout that span had been in opposition to Virginia (42-23) in 2017 and BYU (51-17) final season.

The Broncos are a 3.5-point favourite in Saturday’s recreation, based on Las Vegas, with an over/below of 57.5 factors. Boise State opened this week as a 4.5-point favourite. The Broncos are 17-3 of their final 20 regular-season video games as a favourite at dwelling and 13-7 in opposition to the unfold. Oklahoma State is 7-13 in its final 20 regular-season video games as an underdog on the highway and 12-8 ATS.

My decide (2-0 straight up, 1-1 ATS): This looks like a recreation that received’t be determined till the ultimate couple of drives, and one the place whichever crew can management the road of scrimmage goes to win it. Neither crew has been dominant on the bottom this yr, however Oklahoma State is set to run the ball, whether or not it’s with athletic quarterback Sanders or a protracted record of succesful operating backs.

If Boise State RB Holani is wholesome sufficient to get again to the shape he confirmed whereas posting 1,014 dashing yards as a real freshman in 2019, the Broncos have an opportunity to win this one in spectacular trend. I believe Sanders’ athleticism and Oklahoma State’s expertise on protection preserve it shut, however Boise State does simply sufficient to win it due to an enormous turnover. Final rating: Boise State 20, Oklahoma State 17

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